January 2019
AV Update
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From the Editors
Last month, we listed the top 10 AV-related news items
as seen through our Canadian lens. This month, we are
going to predict the 10 AV events of 2019 -- again as
seen through our Canadian eyes. Some of these are
certain to happen and others are a bit more
speculative.
- The new Ottawa AV/CV test track will be
formally opened -- expected in March.
- A Canadian student competition to develop and
test a model of an automated snow plow will be
held in Ottawa in May. The contest is organized by
Unmanned Systems Canada, sponsored by
Transport Canada, and will be held at the new
Ottawa AV/CV test track.
- The CAV Canada 2019 Summit will be held
in Ottawa in September. This 2-day event will
feature presentations on technology, policy and
deployment.
- Many other conferences will have AV-themed
panels and presentations. The conferences will
cover a surprising range of topics.
- There will be many more AV trials, demos and
pilots in many locations across Canada. Although
there appears to be a lot of duplication, a key
objective for many pilots is to help
municipalities learn more about AVs in their
cities.
- Governments at all levels will continue to try
and get their arms around the many impacts and
challenges of AVs.
- GM will announce a revised date to
start mass-producing driverless taxis with no
steering wheel or pedals.
- If KPMG updates and publishes its report on
the AV preparedness of 20 countries, Canada will
be higher than the 7th place rating in the
previous report -- but not as high as it should be
for a country like ours.
- One of the key areas for AVs in 2019 will be
non-passenger vehicles for deliveries,
snow-clearing, garbage collection, mining,
agriculture, forestry, etc.
- Finally -- and tragically -- more people will
be killed in AV collisions in the US and
elsewhere. There will be a significant public and
media reaction.
Canadian AV News
On Saturday January 26, 2019, the Minnesota
Chapter of AUVSI held a student automated snow
plow competition in downtown Toronto. Sidewalk
Labs was a sponsor and hosted the event at
their Sidewalk Toronto site. Barrie Kirk assisted
at the event and reports that it was both very
interesting and informative. It was great to see
all the students from seven US teams face
real-world challenges in a fun and educational
event. Here is one of the snow plows about to
start its run:
It is well-known that shared mobility is closely
linked to AVs. MOVMI -- based in Vancouver
-- has published its 2019 Shared Mobility City
Index (SMCI) edition. This provides a
comprehensive overview of shared mobility
infrastructure and policy in 20 North American
cities and ranks them against their peers. Each
city is marked using five different criteria,
commuting patterns (25%), city sustainability
vision and plans (25%), shared mobility providers
(15%), public to private cost comparison (10%) and
city density (5%).
This link provides an interactive map which
tells you if your city placed in the top twenty.
There is also information on how to order the full
report.
In collaboration with Pacific Western and
other partners, the City of Calgary
undertook a self-driving shuttle project in
September 2018. Nearly 4,500 people rode the
shuttle (dubbed ELA) during its 3 weeks of
operation. 250 of the riders completed a
post-ride survey conducted by the University of
Calgary. Of these, 41% said they would not
ride such a shuttle on a regular freeway, 25% said
they would and 34% were undecided. More people
(70%) felt comfortable if the shuttle had its own
dedicated lane versus 55% on a regular,
low-traffic road. More information at
this link.
On a related topic, Pacific Western will be
doing more demonstration projects with ELA in
Vancouver and Surrey in February 2019. This
is part of the two cities’ joint entry in the Smart
City Challenge, a federal competition with a $50
million prize aimed at fostering innovation in
municipalities. More information at
this link.
International AV News
The new startup
Pronto.ai launched by Anthony Levandowski
claims to have driven the longest route in the U.S. in
a self-driving mode. The trip occurred October 26-30,
2018 in a Toyota Prius from San Francisco to New York
City over a distance of 4,987 Km. The self-drive
technology for Pronto.ai is mainly based on cameras
(no LiDAR). The company hopes to sell its technology
to trucking companies at a cost of $5,000 per
installation. More information is at
this link.
Wired magazine published an article on December
25, 2018 titled ‘DON’T ASK WHEN SELF-DRIVING CARS WILL
ARRIVE - ASK WHERE’. The article posits that
self-driving car trials have been mostly conducted in
areas more conducive to such trials, such as Arizona,
Florida or Nevada. These locales side step more
challenging situations such as having to deal with
snow, rain, sand, hail, sun glare, etc. In the words
of the CEO of one self-driving firm: “you can drive
for miles and avoid complex lane merges—or even
traffic lights! “. The article can be viewed at
this link.
Another op-ed was in Jalopnik and was titled ‘2018
Was a Hard Reality Check for Autonomous Cars’
details some of the major challenges and controversies
faced by companies and individuals engaged in
developing self-driving technologies. Depending on who
you choose to believe, mass scale self-drive
technology could be here in a few years or it could be
decades away. The article can be viewed at this
link.
With US$10 million funding from the South Korean
Government, what is claimed to be the world’s largest
test bed for self-driving cars has been created in
that country. The test bed called ‘K-City’ is located
about an hour south of Seoul on a 90-acre site (see
map). South Korean firms such as Samsung, SK Telecom,
Kia Motors and Hyundai will be using this facility to
develop and test their connected and autonomous
vehicles. More information at
this link.
(Editor's note: Fact checking is becoming more common,
so we should point our that the new Ottawa AV test
track is 1,860 acres, which is 20 times the size of
the South Korean site.)
A recent study by Michigan State University
says that the algorithms behind computer vision
systems can be seriously hampered by inclement weather
such as rain. These computer vision systems are
heavily used in self-driving cars for detecting
objects, recognizing toad signs and the colour of
traffic lights. The study states that computer vision
algorithms failed to detect about 20 percent of
objects in light rain. The failure rate doubled when
rain intensity was tripled. More information at
this link.
With the launch of Waymo’s robotaxi service
(Waymo One) in Arizona in December 2018, the debate
has risen again on whether there is really a viable
commercial market for robotaxi services. This is
despite the large sums spent by Uber, Lyft, Waymo,
Ford, GM and others for developing such services.
More information is at
this link.
McKinsey & Company has published a series of
articles on technological disruptions to the trucking
and logistics industries. Starting with autonomous
trucks, McKinsey predicts significant change in the
cost structure and utilization of trucking — and hence
with the cost of consumer goods. Sixty-five percent of
the America’s consumable goods are trucked to market.
With full autonomy, operating costs may decline by
about 45%, saving the US for-hire trucking industry
$85 billion to $125 billion. The big question is how
will these savings be distributed? How will shippers
and carriers divide the lower costs of logistics? Or
will most of the surplus move to consumers, in the
form of lower prices? More information is at
this link.
A coalition of industry, non-profit and academic
institutions has launched a campaign to inform the
public and policymakers about the potential and the
reality of advanced vehicle technologies and
self-driving vehicles. ‘Partners for Automated
Vehicle Education’ (PAVE)
will hold events across the U.S. to introduce driver
assistance and self-driving technology to consumers
and policymakers; hold educational workshops to help
federal, state and local officials make informed
policy decisions. Audi of America, Toyota, VW,
Daimler, Waymo, NVIDIA, SAE International, AAA and
others are participating in PAVE. More information is
at
this link.
On December 21, 2018 the U.S. Department of
Transportation (USDoT) issued a ‘Notice of Funding
Opportunity’ (NOFO) for $60 million in federal grant
funding for projects that test the safe integration of
automated driving systems (ADS). The program will
cover three broad areas: Safety, Data for Safety
Analysis & Rulemaking and Collaboration. Grant
applications are due on March 21, 2019. More
information is at
this link.
One of the major challenges for autonomous vehicles is
the huge number of possible scenarios that an AV can
encounter. Some of these scenarios are presented in
Planetizen in an article titled ‘Transportation
2019—Looking Back, Looking Ahead’. The article
can be read at
this link.
The largest autonomous vehicle test site in the U.S. –
GoMentum Station, has been bought by the
Northern California, Nevada and Utah chapter of the
American Automobile Association (AAA) for an
undisclosed sum. The site previously managed by ‘Contra
Costa Transportation Authority’ and is located in
Concord, California. More information at
this link.
A new multi-million dollar simulator facility has been
built by
Ansible Motion in Norfolk (UK) for testing
advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and
autonomous technologies. The system known as ‘Delta
driver-in-the-loop’ (DIL) simulator is designed to
offer a repeatable laboratory environment to test and
validate new ADAS in a short amount of time and to see
how drivers react to them. More information at
this link.
And finally, autonomous vehicles and vehicle
technologies were a dominant theme at the 2019
Consumer Electronics Show (CES) in Las Vegas.
Below is a summary of some of the more major
announcements and products at this year’s show:
- Daimler Trucks allocates
$572 million to driverless technology. Details
here.
- Toyota’s approach to
self-driving cars. Details
here.
- Udelv announces
second-generation autonomous delivery van. Details
here.
- Bosch moving ahead with
self-driving car technology. Details
here.
- Nvidia partners with
Mercedes on artificial intelligence. Details
here.
- Mobileye inks autonomous
vehicle deals across China. Details
here.
- A selection of
self-driving, electric, and connected vehicles at
CES 2019. Details
here.
- All exhibitors in the
‘Vehicle Technology’ category at the CES 2019.
Details
here.
Upcoming AV-Related Events
February 13-14, 2019:
Autonomous Industrial Vehicle Technology Conference,
Cologne, Germany
Feb 28 – March 1, 2019:
Operational Safe Systems for Level 5 Automation (OSS5),
South San Francisco Conference Centre
April 8-9, 2019:
Autonomous & Connected Vehicle Europe 2019,
Berlin, Germany
April 28 – May 1, 2019:
IEEE Vehicular Technology Conference, Kuala
Lumpur, Malaysia
May 8-9, 2019:
IoT613 Conference, Gatineau, Quebec
May 21-23, 2019:
Autonomous Vehicle Test & Development Symposium Europe,
Stuttgart, Germany
June 2-5, 2019:
Canadian Institute of Transportation Engineers (CITE)
annual conference at the Westin hotel in Ottawa
June 4-6, 2019:
TU-Automotive Detroit conference & exhibition for
future auto tech, Novi, MI
June 9-12, 2019:
UITP Global Public Transport Summit; Stockholm,
Sweden
June 25-27, 2019:
Autonomous Ship Technology Symposium, Amsterdam,
Netherlands
Sept 9-10, 2019:
CAV Canada 2019, a national CAV conference
organized by the Kanata North Business Association,
Invest Ottawa and the Canadian Automated Vehicles
Institute (CAVI); Brookstreet Hotel, Ottawa
Sept 22-25, 2019:
Joint TAC and ITS Canada conference,
Halifax, Nova Scotia
Sept 22-25, 2019:
IEEE Vehicular Technology Conference, Honolulu,
Hawaii
October 2019:
World Congress and Challenge for Self-Driving Transport,
Dubai, UAE
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AV Update
is a free, monthly roundup of news and analysis in the world
of automated vehicles and their impact on all levels of
government and the private sector.
Chief Editor: Ahmad Radmanesh
Contributor to this issue: Barrie Kirk
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© CAVCOE 2019
CAVCOE
(formerly the
Canadian Automated Vehicles Centre of Excellence)
provides advice to public and private sector organizations
to help them plan for the arrival of self-driving vehicles
300 Earl Grey Drive, Suite 222,
Ottawa ON K2T 1C1, Canada.
info@cavcoe.com
www.cavcoe.com |
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